Boris Johnson insists the UK is 'not corrupt' at COP26
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The latest polling has given Labour a slight lead, boosting the party by two points while the Conservatives lag by one. Pollsters Redfield and Wilton found that, as of November 10, “Westminster voting intention” is 38 percent to 36 percent, with the Tories dragged down by recent controversy. That lead is the product of a slew of corruption allegations engulfing the Conservative party, beginning with Owen Paterson and most recently extending to Sir Geoffrey Cox.
The issue of “Tory sleaze” punctured through to the public as Sir Geoffrey was allegedly captured on video using his Parliamentary office for unrelated work.
The alleged infraction of Commons rules – which state MPs should not use their offices for “personal or financial” benefit – took place on September 14.
But Sir Geoffrey said via a statement posted on his website he does “not believe” he broke the rules.
Labour has chosen to refer the case to the Parliamentary Commissioner for Standards, and Sir Geoffrey said he would accept its decision.
Will there be an early General Election?
Growing discontent with the Conservative leadership has come both from Labour and within the party itself.
Senior Tories have resigned since the sleaze row reignited last week, most recently Andrew Bowie.
The Scottish MP tendered his resignation yesterday, and insiders have blamed the Government’s growing issue with “sleaze”.
He said he had decided to “take a step back from the demands” of his position as vice-chairman, with insiders claiming he had become “hacked off” with defending the Government amid “last week’s events”.
Mr Bowie has denied this, however, stating it was “in no way” connected to the recent controversies.
Conservative rather than Labour attacks are currently the only route to a General Election.
The only way to unseat the Prime Minister, therefore triggering calls for an election, would be for a vote of no confidence to have cross-party support.
Tories currently possess an 80-seat lead, meaning Labour, the Liberal Democrats, the SNP, and Green Party would need a sizeable rebellion to win such a vote.
But there is no indication of one coming, nor is Mr Johnson likely to call for a General Election for any other reason.
He is in no rush but may soon have the power to determine new elections as his Government mulls over repealing the Fixed Term Parliaments Act.
Even if he called a new election today, however, Labour likely won’t win.
While Labour has recently taken the polling lead, it would not claim victory if these results translated accurately to votes.
Analysis conducted by the New Statesman found that the current predicted distribution would see the Tories lose 50 seats and Labour gains 45.
That would bring the distribution to 315 Conservative seats to 247 Labour, meaning the latter party remains the largest in Parliament.
The SNP would grow their seat numbers to 55, adding seven, and the Liberal Democrats would lose two, down to nine.
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