Foreign-policy analyst: We're edging closer to War!
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The Russia policy expert expressed concern over the escalating situation in Ukraine amid a concern that US plans to back NATO guerilla fighters in the event of an invasion could lead to the conflict spilling over into the rest of Europe. Mr Ehrlich told Express.co.uk that Europe was seeing something “very close to a conventional World War Three sort of scenario.”
Mr Ehrlich told Express.co.uk: “The idea of the conflict spilling over into Belarus I think it’s very possible.
“t’s not clear in the event of Russian intervention, whether the Russians would directly take the forces that they have in Belarus and have them crossed the border, but even if they didn’t, their rocket artillery and their conventional artillery that stationed within Belarus could hit targets around Kiev and it would be able to do that with lower cost munitions than if it were using its longer-range missiles from within the territory of Russia.
“So that’s certainly one potential conflict site, you know, in a way that the situation could escalate.
“Another one is if the Biden administration goes through with these plans that we’ve heard to have camps set up in the states adjacent to Ukraine, so in NATO territory, in Poland, in Slovenia, and Slovakia, and then to stage cross border raids, with fighters who would have been who’d be trained and armed by NATO.
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“The idea is that they would slip in and out of the conflict, sort of like you had combatants doing in Cambodia when they slipped into Vietnam.
“It’s unclear whether the conflict would then spill over into those camps. I mean, in my view, that’s a really big bet that Russia would be so scared of triggering an Article Five conflict that simply wouldn’t respond to very direct attacks on its personnel.
“So I hope that the conflict wouldn’t spill over that way because we would, I mean, it’s sort of surreal to be talking about this, but we’re really talking about something that’s very close to a conventional World War 3 sort of scenario.
“And it’s been discussed as one of the potential outcomes of this kind of conflict and so it’s pretty disturbing.”
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The revelation comes as US intelligence warns Russia could use fabricated atrocity footage as a “false flag” to justify an incursion of Ukraine.
US Deputy National Security Advisor Jonathan Finer told MSNBC: “[The video] would involve actors playing mourners for people who are killed in an event that they [Russia] would have created themselves… [and] deployment of corpses to represent bodies purportedly killed.”
The Kremlin has denied accusations in the past that it is trying to manufacture a conflict and says it is not planning an invasion.
Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov dismissed the reports on Thursday saying: “It’s obvious that these are not steps aimed at de-escalating tensions, but on the contrary, they are actions that lead to increasing tension.
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“We constantly call on our American counterparts to stop aggravating tensions on the European continent.
“Unfortunately, the Americans continue to do so,” he added.
Meanwhile, Ukraine’s military continues to train troops amid fears tension between Kiev and Moscow could escalate to an all-out war.
The Kremlin has amassed tens of thousands of troops along Ukraine’s border with Russia.
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